Thursday, March 25, 2010

Over-heard at NoVacancy: tweets and chatter from No Vacancy hospitality conference 18 March 2010

Innovation, Distribution, Inspiration @ No Vacancy 2010
Normally it is the end of the year that signals the conference season with TRAVELtech, WebInTravel and PhoCusWright following each other month by month starting in September (note - TRAVELtech is Aug 31 this year rather than usual Sept). But for the BOOT this year the season has started early with adtech, No Vacancy having just wrapped up and Eyefortravel TDS Asia coming up in Singapore on April 28 and 29.

Last week was my first year at No Vacancy. It is part of the same conference stable as Martin Kelly's SearchEngineRoom and TRAVELtech and is targeted at the hospitality industry - all channels - rather than being a purely online or technology conference. I (and others) tweeted our way through No Vacancy under the hashtag #novacancy. Not all of you are on twitter so here in this post are some of the top tweets and quotes I took away from No Vacancy. Here are the the most interesting tweets:

On the market general (Australian bias)
  • 2009 hospitality market in Australia according to Dransfield."held up better than expected" "rates down 3%" "revpar down 8.2%". 2010 "good start, expect rate increases" but " lost 40% of capital globally" "another shock could come" They went on "Credit availability + bank conservatism means still shortage of capital" "has hit valuation "av hotel down 20% value"
  • Travelclick" gds htl vol in 2009 46mm trans, to 2003 levels". Wonder how much corp bookg decline, how much OTA neg rate growth?
On Online Agents and Intermediaries
  • Robbie Cook (Wotif CEO) said "60% of business is direct to site, then organic search, paid is a single digit % of the business". He went on to say that "Wotif saved $2.2mm in costs post travel.com.au business post acquisition."
  • Yury Shar Hotelscombined said that "less than 10% of traffic comes from typing in URL direct" "59% of traffic affiliate. Paid 24%, rest organic search" Sam_Linder added in his tweet "@hotelscombined 2 mil visitors pm to 6 mil in last year. Affiliates is primary channel, 15,000 such as skyscanner in uk"
  • Latest stats from stayz.com.au "22,400 properties, 270k newsletter subs, 160k bkings/ 650k nts in 2009 (+ 30%yoy)" also advertising revenue
On Hoteliers
  • Starwood AsiaPac "2009 -2% in occupancy, -7% ADR for -9% RevPAR in Pacific" "online only channel to grow- branded faster than OTA"
  • Starwood "2-3 years to get back to 2007 rate levels" to which robertkcole said "Sorry, Starwood's dreaming if they think it will only take 2-3 years for rates to return to 2007"
  • Accor AsiaPac "Occ finished 2009 at 74%. Good but down from all time high in 2007" "price down 6%" revpar down 9%"
  • Accor "Online up from 10% of sales in 2005 to 35% planned for 2010" "65% of online sales will be direct up from 50% in 2005"
  • Accor "happy with 65% of online business being direct. Won't artificially cap 3rd party distribution or hold back inventory"
Other accom types
  • 25-46% of bookings online at "freespirit" (a holiday park/caravan park company). If true for whole sector then parks online larger percentage than hotels

Wednesday, March 24, 2010

Rumour True! Google trialling meta-search in maps for hotels

Who knew that a BOOT rumour (admittedly one from a trusted source) could prove to be true. I wrote last week that I had a good but unsubstantiated story that Google was planning a launch of travel meta-search. Now we have confirmation that they are putting prices into the display of hotel results with priced links to booking engines. Not all users are seeing this functionality (in classic Google multi-variant testing) preventing me from giving you a screenshot of my own, but over at "eWeek Google Watch" you can see some screenshots of a "hotels in new york" search with prices and meta-search style functionality.

Kayak, Wego, Hotelscombined, Sprice and more - hold on to your algorithms this is going to be a bumpy ride!

More analysis over at Tnooz

PS - WOW I scored a TechCrunch link out of this

Wednesday, March 17, 2010

No Vacancy tomorrow (March 18) see you there

Innovation, Distribution, Inspiration @ No Vacancy 2010
No time to recover from the digital scrummage of ad:tech. The conference train continues to roll on with the hospitality conference No Vacancy tomorrow March 18. If you are there come and say hello. I will be blogging, schmoozing and tweeting (follow #novacancy).

Tuesday, March 16, 2010

Google to launch travel meta-search in April according to unsubstantiated rumour

I heard an unsubstantiated rumour today. Someone told me something they heard from someone else that may know something. The rumour is that Google will be launching a travel meta-search product in the US next month (April). Now, let me say up front that this is nothing but rumour and I have not vetted it to anywhere near the levels of confirmation that a journalist would (may Kevin forgive me). Thought this would be a good chance to test out the power of the blog audience. Have any of you out there in blog land heard anything about Google going into travel meta-search in the coming weeks? Bing's doing it, maybe everybody should.

thanks to "This is a wake up call" for the great photo via flickr

BOOT to present at ad:tech March 17 in Sydney

UPDATE and reminder: The BOOT will be presenting today (March 17) at ad:tech Sydney (Convention centre in Darling Harbour). Details of the session are below. Will be tweeting via #ATSYD. It is the last session of the day but promises to be a good one. See you there.

ad:tech Sydney is on this year March 16 & 17. The BOOT will be presenting on March 17 at a session titled.

What Is The Impact Of Social Content On e-Commerce?

Bullets are:
  • What role do social objects and search play in the online purchasing decision?
  • How can you harness social content to benefit e-commerce outcomes?
  • What impact does social media have in powering conversion rates and increasing sales?
Other panellists include
  • Tim O'Neill, Joint Managing Director, Reactive
  • Mike Hickinbotham, Social Media Senior Advisor, Telstra
  • Michael Gorman, Vice President for Strategy, Acxiom Global Multichannel Marketing Services
  • Dan Ferguson, Online Channel Manager, General Pants
Here is the rest of the schedule.

Let me know if you are attending and

Monday, March 15, 2010

Agoda's 2009 Turnover / Bookings was US$244 million (according to Citigroup)

I am always on the watch for Agoda results here are the BOOT as they have been hard to find. You will have seen the stellar results for Pricline in this announcement and elsewhere, showing >50% growth in Q4 09 over 08. In the transcript from the earnings announcement I could not find any details about Agoda's contribution to the performance. Finally, via CitigroupGEO we have an estimate on Agoda's turnover and gross bookings. Here is a table with the last 6 quarters of results for Agoda estimated by Mark S. Mahaney of Citigroup (link to PDF here)

Means Citi estimated Agoda generated $244MM in bookings/turnover in 2009 (3% of Pricline's total). Up 100% on 2008. Q4 2009 was estimated at US$78mm up 111% on Q4 2008. Other information from the note:
  • Confirmed purchase terms. Acquisition in 2007 for $16MM in cash
    and an earn-out of up to $142MM, payable in 2011 upon Agoda reaching
    undisclosed Bookings and Earnings targets in 2010.
  • Strongest search engine ranking markets - China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, Singapore, and Thailand. Weakest - Australia, India, and New Zealand.
  • Projects Agodas gross bookings at $433mm in 2010, $606mm in 2011 and $758mm in 2012; and
  • Models and aggressive scenario where $1bb in gross bookings for Agoda is possible in 2011 if online hotel penetration in APAC increases from 25% to 37.5% and Agoda;s share of the market increases from 3.5% to 6%.
This Citi report is the most detailed analysis of Agoda I have seen to date. Definitely worth a read.

Thursday, March 11, 2010

More on China from McKinsey Quarterly

I think I might as well call it China month here are the BOOT. I have another interesting piece for you to read about the Online market in China. This one is from McKinsey and covers online China in general (not just travel). Called "China's Internet Obsession" this article comes from the McKinsey Quarterly (registration required for full article but no cost to register). Couple of highlights from the article:
  • China is world's largest internet market in terms of people - 384mm online. 50% increase since 2008;
  • One in five consumers between the ages of 18 and 44 won’t purchase a product or service without first researching it on the Internet; and
  • Online advertising has been growing at between 20 and 30 percent a year—twice the print media’s growth rate—and the market was around $3 billion (20 billion renminbi) in size last year.
thanks to Chi King via flickr for the photo

Tuesday, March 09, 2010

Motley Fool on eLong, Ctrip, Home Inn and more in China

It is definitely China week here are the BOOT. Two posts on Ctrip last week one on an interview with their CFO Jane Jie Sun and one on their acquisition war chest plans.

This week I came across another interesting post for China watches to read. Rick Munarriz over at the Motley Fool site published a post titled "Panoramic View of Chinese Travel Plays" In the story Muarriz discusses the performance of online travel company eLong (Nasdaq: LONG) , budget hotel chain Home Inn (Nasdaq: HMIN) (interesting side bar - Home Inn was founded by CTRIP founder) as well as Ctrip (Nasdaq: CTRP) itself and even Priceline (Nasdaq: PCLN) and AirMedia (Nasdaq: AMCN).

Good comparison on performance of eLong and Ctrip. Worth a read. Interesting note on eLong. Though it is profitable, more than half its market cap is explained by the $139mm in cash in the bank.

thanks to steve webel for the great photo care of flickr

Monday, March 08, 2010

Drew Patterson Interview - Jetsetter CEO talks to the BOOT

I have re-read the Tnooz predictions for 2010 to confirm but as best I can tell none of the online travel punderati mentioned online private sale companies in their predictions for 'what's hot 2010'. But if the buzz around Jetsetter, Voyage Prive, Kayak Private Sale and more is anything to go by then clearly we should have. After I wrote a post on Tnooz called "Non-transactional travel sites are chasing the online agents on unique product hunting" I decided to do some more investigating into this area. From that I had a chance to talk last week with Jetsetter CEO and ex-Kayaker Drew Patterson.

As a reminder, Jetsetter offers a selected list of limited time deals at high end travel product to a member only list. To get on the member list you have to be referred by another member.

My view on the business model is that it is interesting, exciting but niche. Has the potential to carve a luxury/targeted space in the online world (like Abercrombie & Kent have done offline). But it is not right to view this move as an "OTA killer". Much like boutique clothing stores have a place in the market but will never beat malls in terms of turnover and scale.

Priceline's Jeff Boyd seems to agree with me. He is quoted in a Dennis Schaal Tnooz post as saying that it believes it is "hard to see how they [private sale companies] will scale".

The clothing analogy is particularly apt case of Jetsetter as they are an offshoot of high end fashion private sale company Gilt. Jetsetter appears to be more than a division of Gilt but an independent but related company. Patterson put it this way "Gilt has capitalised Jetsetter". As well as money, Gilt has set up an "intercompany agreement regarding access to customers".

A number of benefits come from the Gilt relationship for Jetsetter. Firstly they get an insta-database of high end customers (Patterson says more than 1 million). Next they have insta-funding in that they (presumably) are getting their funding from Gilt via the $43mm raised from General Atlantic and Matrix Partners. Finally there would be some technology synergies in Gilt providing Jetsetter with insta-merchandising through a common content management architecture.

These point towards solving a lot of the distribution and establishment challenges that face a travel start-up. Leaving Patterson and team to focus on getting product/supply on the shelves.

Patterson has a clear cut vision for his supply strategy. He is not out to replicate the OTAs with the need to manage "10,000 partner, many with low volumes. We much prefer to focus on 8-9 live sales 0n the site." Hotel selection has to be very tight and controlled according to Patterson. They use a combination of "editorial judgement" from a "group of people from within the industry" and post- stay survey responses from members. Patterson says that the survey response result in partners being discarded and new ones selected.

He stuck to the consistent line that I saw in the TravelTrends post on Jetsetter of not disclosing the margins that are being charged to hotels. He confirms that it is not the standard 20-25% of the OTAs but is "more than healthy enough to run a business". It matches his Gilt customer base to target a limited number of high end products. With a focus as much on descriptions and content as rate.

The spot that Patterson and Jetsetter are targeting has parallels with some of my EveryYou posts and discussions on how to help consumers answer open ended questions in online travel search.

He sees editorial content as the key to helping consumers to discover and book high end product. Wants to be compared to publication and information sources Daily Candy and Urban Daddy rather than shopping sites. To be a "lifestyle publication as much as a travel company". He believes that "Consumers want an editor to help point them in the right direction." To be provided with "a sense of what is interesting in the world of travel. What places to go to . What is distinctive." Jetsetter what their role to be to tell "a very different story to 'here are deals in vegas'" that is market of the OTAs. He did not give much away on performance but did say that traffic in Feb 2010 was 40% up on Jan which was 40% up on Dec. With "revenue per member holding constant".

Patterson and Jetsetter have spent time and energy thinking through the business. They have money, a targeted niche and a customer base. All point towards potential success. To get to success I see two challenges for them to address.

Challenge 1 - turning retail customers into travel customers

The bad experiences of Amazon, eBay and Pricegrabber in travel have shown that that a retail database does not translate easily to travel sales. Patterson's view on this is that there is "enough congruence in the basic business model and customers" between Gilt and Jetsetter to provide Jetsetter with an advantage. That the high end product seeking customers of Gilt will transition from buying expensive clothes to expensive holidays.

Challenge 2 - generating scale (in sales and data)

The first of these (scale in sales) is not that big a deal. While targeted sales will never be as big as mass market, there is plenty of money to be made trying to be the Abercrombie and Kent of online travel. High per booking values make revenue per transaction healthy and customers can be very loyal. Keeping supply numbers tight means that per hotel volume should be high enough to keep suppliers interested. However scale in data could be more challenging. As I discuss in a number of my EveryYou posts the future of online travel is not just making targeted recommendations, it is adjusting those recommendations based on the different 'version' of the traveller that is making a request at a particular time. One person can be many different travellers depending on the trip (ie business travel vs leisure v VFR). To do that you need lots of data on a customer. More than I suspect you get in the tight supply context of Jetsetter. To move to a more powerful recommendation architecture will require Jetsetter to tap into other sources of data from Gilt and other places.

The biggest asset that Jetsetter has to overcome these challenges is the 1 million member Gilt database to start things off.

Thursday, March 04, 2010

Ctrip makes very strong hints that looking for acquisitions

Day for a Ctrip double post. A few movements ago a link to a Tom Botts post from a presentation by Ctrip CFO Jane Jie Sun. Now I have just spotted a Reuters/Yahoo! Finance news story that Ctrip are planning to place 5.7mm American Depositary Shares (currently priced at around $36). In non-finance English this means they are looking to raise somewhere around $200mm in capital. What do they plan to do with it? The Reuters story says they plan to use the money to buy or invest in "complementary businesses and assets" and for general corporate purposes. In non-finance English "complementary businesses and assets"means buying some one. Ctrip plus $200mm equals consolidation. Speculation time....who do you think they are most likely to buy?

Ctrip CFO Jane Jie Sun presentation notes

BOOT recommended read of the week - Tom Botts of Hudson Crossing's summary of Ctrip CFO Jane Jie Sun presentation at the Goldman Sachs Technology and Internet Conference in San Francisco. Post is called "Ctrip and Home Inn: How Different China Really is". Includes notes like "Only 2% of travel in China is booked online today - and Ctrip has 50% of that market". Worth a read. Always worth remembering that online travel in China has a different meaning that elsewhere.

Wednesday, March 03, 2010

See you at No Vacancy March 18 in Sydney

Final speaker list is live for the No Vacancy conference in Sydney March 18. I will be there as an attendee and blogger. Will be tweeting under the hashtage #novacancy. Let me know if you'll be there and would like to meet up. Rego details here.

Some of the speakers I am looking forward to are:

The BOOT is perfect for Qantas Affiliate Program....really??????

I received an email this morning from Affiliate Future. A company providing marketing services to help companies generate affiliate sales. They are pitching an affiliate relationship between the BOOT and Qantas. The offer is for $15 a sale. The email invite contained this sentence as the big hook to draw me in

"I’m reaching out [to you] as I think Qantas is highly relevant for your site and traffic"
Why is that people write to me (to anyone) to pitch a business without have spent a moment to read the source material. Here are some quote from the BOOT about Qantas.

re relationship with Amadeus
"Unlike the PR love-ins of the previous announcements, Qantas was very happy to very publicly blame the whole thing on Amadeus. Newly appointed Qantas spokesman David Epstein used all of the tact that his former Labour party bosses are famous for by being very polite in his finger pointing but stating clearly and cleanly" [full post]

re service on the A380
"More and more this [service] becomes Qantas' weak point. It is provided to their schedule not the passengers'." [full post]

re the outrageous prices on the AU-US route
"
Right now Qantas is gouging me and every other customer on the Pacific Route (East Coast Australia to West coast USA). " [full post]

re changes to frequent flyer program
"I have been fuming about the recent changes to the Qantas Frequent Flyer program." [full post]

re a VOD system that did not work for two years
"Shame on you Mr Cox and shame on you Qantas. Your customers are telling you the system is busted, your staff are telling you the system is busted and the best solution you can come up with is moving seats. This is completely useless advice" [full post]

re Price fixing in air cargo
"Aaah Qantas - the "spirit of Australia". So long as you mean old fashioned pre-colonial convict spirit of Australia to steal as much as you can from anyone you can." [full post]

And this is just a sample. It is not all negative for Qantas here on the BOOT. There are some high praise/positive posts including these three:
But this is not a site that (if I was Qantas) I would want to be sending to cheques to or having my booking engine on. Clearly Affiliate Future have just printed out a list of top ranked or trafficked sites in travel - especially those generating links for seat reviews - and not bothered to actually look at the site to see if the content would suit the partner.

Let this be my version of the warning post to PR companies and marketing people. Take a moment - just 5 mins will be enough- to look at my site before you write to me. How embarrassing.

Thursday, February 25, 2010

Priceline talking Asia and growth but still quiet on Agoda results

Three articles/posts this week with information on Priceline's strategy for Asia. They are all good reads and I recommend them to you. Playing to my bias for comments on Asia/Australasia, I poured through the posts to look for details on Priceline's investment in Agoda and plans for Booking in the region. Unfortunately Priceline continue to closely guard the details on Agoda's performance.

The three posts are:
Key extracts are:
  • Priceline likes the dual strategy of brands in Asia - Agoda and Booking.com according to CEO Jeffery Boyd (Schaal's post)
  • Two thirds of Priceline's bookings are non- US. "We expect to have higher growth in the international markets, from new markets like Asia that are less well-penetrated and are currently enjoying higher levels of economic growth," Boyd said. International bookings were up 81 percent in the fourth quarter compared to 20.6 percent in the US. (Reuter's story). In the same story Expedia's Khosrowshahi said that said he expects non-U.S. bookings to account for at least half of Expedia's business within five years, up from 37 percent currently. He went on "We're aggressively investing in China and Australia, India and Brazil,";
  • There are lots of details on the quarter's numbers bu very slim pickings from Boyd in the earnings call on Agoda (seeking alpha) on Agoda. Boyd is very tight on the message of growth but will not be drawn on details.

  1. "International gross bookings benefited from growth in new markets, growth in hotel supply and results from Agoda";

  2. "Agoda also reported improving growth rates resulting in an improved merchant growth rates on a consolidated basis.";

  3. "gross booking growth rates improved for Agoda"; and

  4. "with respect to Agoda, we’ve consistently seen their business do well in Asian countries outside of China and India in particular, that’s been their focus. Thailand is a big market for Agoda."

Thursday, February 18, 2010

First Class is dead. Long Live First Class.

10 years ago last month(January 2000) British Airways changed business class flying forever when they introduced the lie flat business class seat. I am sure that the revenue management team putting together the pricing and yielding plan for that launch did not realise that 10 years later they would be causing the death of first class. The launch itself completely changed the pricing for the standard 3 class airlines. In the early nineties (with the old Business Classes) the general rule for pricing between Economy, Business and First was "double double". Business was twice the cost of Economy. And First twice the cost of Business. But with flat beds stripping out seats, the pricing had to change. The rule went from "double double" to "by four by one point five". Sydney to Europe in economy was a $2,500, Business by 4 at $10,000 and First by 1.5 at $15,000. The gap between the price of Economy and the price of Business grew too great to withstand the Global F'n Crisis.

Today Qantas announced (during the publication of their results) that they would spend $400mm refitting most of the fleet to eliminate first class in all but 12 of its A380s.

On Jan 26 this year Air NZ announced their new plans for class configurations. They announced a revamped business, high end premium economy and the first efforts at beds in economy class. It does not include a first class (Upgrade:Travel Better blog post here on the announcement).

I therefore conclude that First Class is on its deathbed. My prediction is that within the next 3 years (by end 2013) all but the most luxurious of carriers that have flat or near flat Business Class seats (ie everyone bar Emirates, Qatar, Etihad and maybe Singapore) will follow suit and remove First Class from their configurations. That will leave Business as the new First with a huge gap to Premium Economy and smaller gap to Economy. In effect having moved from a 3 class airlines product to a 4 class airline product to a 2.5 class range of product.

But the change will continue. I predict that over the course of the following 7 years (starting in 2013 and ending in 2020) the seats in premium economy will start to lean a little more, then be spaced out a little further, then go a little flatter, then have their own lounges and check ins and finally an airline will announce Krug being served in "Business Class". We will realise that Airlines are back to the "natural order" of front of the plane with flat beds, middle of the plane with large, very comfortable seats and the back filled with grouchy people wondering why they signed up for the "enhanced transportation techniques" afforded by economy class.

In other words we are witnessing the end of First Class....until they rename Business, flatten out Premium and we go round again. Do you agree?

PS - if you like stories and analysis on the life, death and opulence of first class travel check out Shashank Nigam August 2009 post on SimplyFlying called " Singapore Airlines A380 Suites – A Class Beyond First or a First Class Branding Debacle?".

thanks to x-ray delta one via flickr for the photo of a 1959 707 first class on board lounge area

Wednesday, February 17, 2010

AsiaRooms: TUI A&D division generates no profits in Q4 of 2009 but AsiaRooms conversion on the improve

Here at BOOT central we try to collect and collate information on Asia's online travel companies. One of those we are tracking is AsiaRooms, the Pattaya based online hotel company owned by the European travel giant TUI. As reported last year AsiaRooms is incorporated into the LateRooms part of TUI.

In May 2009 I managed to collect some information about the performance and results for the TUI Online Destination Services group - which included AsiaRooms, LateRooms, Hotelopia, Hotelbeds and a dozen offline destination brands. The group was renamed the TUI Accomodation and Destination (A&D) division in the second quarter of 09. With the new name comes with a slight realignment of brands and sub-divisions into the following.

B2C Division: LateRooms and Asiarooms.
B2B Division: Hotelopia, Hotelbeds, Holidays Services and TUI Espania
A&D Specialist Division: Intercruises, Aeolos, Pacific World, TUI China

I read this as a greater separation of the operations of the combined LateRooms/AsiaRooms and the other "online" businesses of Hotelopia and Hotelbeds. While the focus of the BOOT is on the B2C group it is worth noting that the A&D section of TUI is big business generating more than £552mm per year in Revenue and more than 8,000 employees. (one page pdf factsheet on the A&D division here)

Last week TUI published their results for the quarter to 31 Dec 2009 (pdf here). From it we can collect another little piece of information on the online activities of TUI and AsiaRooms turnover. Here's what the announcement says
"The A&D sector reported an underlying operating result of £nil (Q1 09 profit £1m) due to foreign exchange translation losses. Profitability in our Online B2C business improved due to better conversion rates in Asiarooms following its switch from a merchant model to a commissionable model. This was offset, however, by reduced volumes in our Destination Services business in Spain."
In one paragraph it is only AsiaRooms out of some dozen or more brands that gets a mention. Nothing specific enough for us to tell whether or not AsiaRooms is profitable or not but they are celebrating conversion improvements. Any other information you have on AsiaRooms?

Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Tnooz: getaroom thoughts

New post from me live over at Tnooz. Titled "GetARoom: three question marks over the model but one reason the company will succeed". Getaroom is the new business from Hotels.com founders Dave Litman and Bob Diener. They had taken a twist on the opaque model with consumers not knowing the full price until after they have been charged. My thoughts on this model over at Tnooz.

Thursday, February 11, 2010

BOOT eyefortravel interview: search, mobile, social networking, innovation, Asia and more part 2

Part 2 of pre-conference interview with with Ritesh Guptaof eyefortravel in the lead up to the TDS conference in Singapore April 28 & 29. Part 1 here.

Question - Can you provide an insight into how does search differ for mobile phones vis-a-vis PC? What according to you are the striking differences?

BOOT - The easy answer is location. A phone knows so much more about your current location than a PC. This gives mobile a huge advantage over PC search in servicing an immediate requirement. But there are challenges here too. A mobile can assume too much about a location. Just because I am travelling in Tokyo does not mean that I want the answer to the question to be in Japanese. The other challenge for mobile is that the platforms are still not uniform in display. Thankfully we are down to a much smaller list of mobile browsers/operating systems that previously but still there are differences between iphone, windows mobile, blackberry, palm and symbian which call challenges in display. This is where apps come in as content providers are trying to get around the browser and device compatibility by using apps to control display and information management to consumers.

Question - The progression of technology and innovation in the travel industry continues at a quickening pace and Asian countries are closing the gap on their western counterparts. What according to have been the major developments in this context in Asia?

BOOT - Innovation is always driven by local requirements and demand patterns. Therefore there are examples across Asia of markets driving product development well ahead of the US or Europe. India leads the world in online bus ticket sales and low cost carrier and traditional carrier display integration. Japan leads the world in online hotel bookings via mobile phones. China leads the world in call centre same day hotel bookings. The mistake many make in planning for innovation is to look to the technology first rather than the business need. As I discussed in this post the secret to innovation is as much about timing, social readiness and execution as it is about a great technology idea. Therefore the major development in Asia that is driving innovation is not a technology one it is a attitudinal shift and market maturity. A display of confidence within the Asian travel industry that dedicated market specific solutions can be put together to target customer needs rather than simply copying what the global OTAs are doing in Europe and America.

Question - What are you most looking forward to at TDS Asia? Who are you most looking forward to meeting at the event?

BOOT - Conferences are always about people watching and meeting. That is what I am looking forward to. The best person you meet at a good conference is the person you weren't expecting to meet. Someone you did not know that you needed to know - if you know what I mean :).

Wednesday, February 10, 2010

SEO rules - why have a top 7 or top 10 when you can have 59 things to do to improve your SEO

As a blogger I know that nothing drives retweets and inbound links like a good top x list of reasons why something is something. For example my post on the three lies that the travel industry keeps telling consumers was my top trafficked post for August 2009. Normally the list is kept at less than ten because the aim of the post is part informing the reader and part driving traffic. I came across a article last week that broke the rules on keeping the list at less than 10 - therefore hurting their chances at retweeting and inbound links but compensates by being a genuinely informative read and well worth being a recommended read of the week.

The post is "59 SEO Ranking Factors" from Joe's AdBlog. It contains what it says it contains - a list of the 59 factors that influence your site's organic search ratings. There is nothing flowery or engaging about the writing in this post but this lack of wordsmithyness (how's that for a made up word) does not detract from the value of this content. This is a great info source and worth you taking a look.

Thanks to Danard Vincente for the fantastic image (via flickr)

BOOT eyefortravel interview: search, mobile, social networking, innovation, Asia and more part 1

I have just completed an email interview with Ritesh Guptaof eyefortravel in the lead up to the TDS conference in Singapore April 28 & 29. Here is part 1 of our exchange (part 2 here).

Question - Do you think predicting user preferences is the biggest unsolved problem in online travel? How do you assess the integration of social search into online travel?

BOOT - I am a strong believer that all companies in online travel should be focusing on understanding users and working on predictive and recommendation engines. But it is a mistake to come at this from just a user preference angle. The trap that companies are falling into is thinking that consumers are still asking "closed" questions. Questions that can be answered with an easy or direct response. Questions like "how much for a flight to new york?, "which hotel should I stay in in Rome?". These are the questions consumers asked for the first 15 years of online travel. Now consumers are also asking open ended questions like "where should I go next?, "what is a good place to go this weekend?". Questions that require a more detailed answer and therefore a very detailed understanding of not only the preferences of the user but also the relationship between those preferences and the destinations available and the different versions of the individual that is searching (my concept of EveryYou). Social networking's role in this is the role that word of mouth has always played in marketing and travel purchases. A force that can be instrumental in a consumer's purchase decision which can be influenced, prodded, supported but never controlled. The difference between Social Networking marketing and word of mouth marketing is just speed. Social network is word of mouth at the speed of light.

Question - Today Google's algorithms are still quite a bit of a black box for professional search marketers. The semantic web should make it more efficient to create and manage online campaigns, because there will be less left to algorithmic interpretation. How do you assess this viewpoint?

BOOT - Google has won search - game over. There are countries were they are weaker (Japan, Korea, China for example) and products where they are weaker (local search and business listings for example) but let's not kid ourselves about who has won search. That said, "old search" is about providing a single destination as an answer to a question. Regardless of the search term, Google only presents a list of single answer destinations. If an answer to the search request is found through information from a combination of different websites then Google (or any search site for that matter) do not have the answer. The other constraint on Google and old search is the limited scope for incorporating and merging the latest up to date with results with older more trusted results. Google has been experimenting with incorporating real time search in their results (example here) but they have not yet figured out how to establish authority in real time search or change the display to be more than an never ending stream of updated information. The Semantic web should be part of the solution here but I still feel we are a while away from implementation because we have not figured out new rules for authority and new methods for display. Maybe Google have but there are just not saying yet!

Question - Google, which last year had introduced a new experiment on Google Labs called Google Social Search, has added a social element to Google Images. With Social Search, Google finds relevant public content from your friends and contacts and highlights it for you at the bottom of your search results. What is going to be the next big thing or trend in social search engine marketing?

BOOT - If you agree with my comments about that marketing of social networking is just like marketing through word of mouth but at the speed of light then the next big things in social network marketing are finding ways to adjust word of mouth marketing to a faster/instantaneous medium. The basics of word of mouth market are trust, interest and relevance. For a consumer to be prepared to share a product, idea, story, service etc with a friend they have to trust the source, be interested in the item/thing and think that it is relevant to others in their circle. Social network marketers need to have these three human elements at the centre of each campaign. The mistake that I see so often is jumping to a technological solution to marketing on social networking rather than the human elements. We can see this in the constant screw ups at Facebook with privacy as they launch new privacy crushing rules and products to give marketers access to customer data. My advice is to turn to the technology second and the human elements first. Establish trust then make something relevant and interesting. If you do, consumers will follow. The final thing to remember as a marketer in social networks - and the 21st century for that matter - is to accept that you have limited control over what your customers will say about your brand. The response to that lack of control is communication and discussion (ie engagement) not defamation, litigation and IP laws (ie stupidity).

Question - This year, we have already seen a couple of significant moves from Apple and Google towards mobile advertising. How do you foresee the impact on search and social media via mobile phones on the travel industry?

BOOT- Up until recently I have been a mobile denier. Mainly because every year since 2000 has been THE year that mobile would take over PC as the place for online action. Google's purchase of AdMob is the turning point. Not because when Google does something it means we have to take a trend seriously but because it means we know have non-transactional revenue streams for mobile activity. The problem for mobile has been that people stop at the credit card entry point. For a variety of reasons people that are completely comfortable putting their cc number into a PC or giving it to a bartender covered in tats and piercing in the off-line world have hesitated when asked to give it to a mobile phone. With Google betting on mobile advertising we have a biz model outline. A means for content and transactional companies to make money in mobile. That is the step that has been needed - more that the continued roll out of smart phone technology and more than the expansion of social networks.

more in part 2